Just over a week ago, we were the first major bracketology site to put St. Mary's back in the field - as the automatic bid out of the WCC. We did so because of the news of Patty Mills' anticipated return, and because of the Gaels' chances - we thought - to beat Gonzaga in the WCC final with a healthy Mills in the lineup. Our projection looked good for a while - Mills came back in time for the WCC semis and St. Mary's beat Portland to earn a spot in the final. And then last night happened. The Gaels got absolutely beat down by Gonzaga in Vegas, and Mills, who didn't play all that well against Portland either, went 2-for-16 from the floor and was a total non-factor.So, St. Mary's is out now, right?
Not yet.
We are sticking with the Gaels for at least one more day. We still like their OOC wins against fellow bubble teams Providence and San Diego State and their Bracketbuster win over Utah State. We also think there's a slight chance the committee takes a flier on them based on how they played early in the year before Mills got hurt and, potentially, based on how Mills looks against Eastern Washington on Friday. We bumped the Gaels down to a 13 seed in today's bracket, which means they are very, very thin ice. If there are any other mid-major bid stealers (Cleveland State tonight?) or if there are any other upsets in the big conference tournies, St. Mary's will be the first team to go. For the next few hours, though, they're (barely) safe.
In other action last night, Siena won the MAAC tournament by beating Niagara, VCU crushed George Mason to win the Colonial title, and Chattanooga (Chattanooga?!) upset Charleston to win the Southern title and a spot in the Play-In Game against Alabama State.
There will be three more automatic bids awarded tonight - Butler hosts Cleveland State in the Horizon final (see below for a full preview of the game), top-seeded Western Kentucky faces sixth-seeded South Alabama in the Sun Belt final, and top-seeded North Dakota State faces third-seeded Oakland in the Summit final.
Bracket Breakdown
In This Bracket
Chattanooga
Out This Bracket
Charleston
Last Four In
Providence, Creighton, New Mexico, St. Mary's
Last Four Out
Minnesota, Florida, San Diego State, Maryland
Next Four Out
Auburn, Rhode Island, Miami (FL), UNLV
---------------------------------------------------------------
Conference Breakdown
Big East (8), Big Ten (7), ACC (6), Big XII (6), Pac-10 (5), MWC (3), SEC (3), A-10 (2), MVC (2), WCC (2)
America East - Binghamton
ACC - North Carolina, Duke, Wake Forest, Florida State, Clemson, Boston College
Atlantic Sun - East Tennessee State
A-10 - Xavier, Dayton
Big East - Pittsburgh, Connecticut, Louisville, Villanova, Syracuse, Marquette, West Virginia, Providence
Big Sky - Weber State
Big South - Radford
Big Ten - Michigan State, Illinois, Purdue, Ohio State, Wisconsin, Michigan, Penn State
Big XII - Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri, Texas, Texas A&M, Oklahoma State
Big West - Cal State Northridge
Colonial - VCU
Conference USA - Memphis
Horizon - Butler
Ivy - Cornell
MAAC - Siena
MAC - Buffalo
MEAC - Morgan State
MVC - Northern Iowa, Creighton
MWC - Utah, BYU, New Mexico
Northeast - Robert Morris
Ohio Valley - Morehead State
Pac-10 - Washington, UCLA, Arizona State, California, Arizona
Patriot - American
SEC - LSU, Tennessee, South Carolina
Southern - Chattanooga
Southland - Stephen F. Austin
Summit - North Dakota State
Sun Belt - Western Kentucky
SWAC - Alabama State
WAC - Utah State
WCC - Gonzaga, St. Mary's
----------------------------------------------------------------
The Seeds
The 1s
Pittsburgh, North Carolina, Connecticut, Oklahoma
The 2s
Louisville, Michigan State, Duke, Memphis
The 3s
Wake Forest, Villanova, Kansas, Washington
The 4s
Florida State, Missouri, Xavier, UCLA
The 5s
Gonzaga, Syracuse, Illinois, Clemson
The 6s
Marquette, Butler, Arizona State, Purdue
The 7s
California, Utah, Texas, LSU
The 8s
BYU, Tennessee, West Virginia, Ohio State
The 9s
Texas A&M, Dayton, Boston College, Wisconsin
The 10s
Michigan, Oklahoma State, Penn State, Arizona
The 11s
South Carolina, Providence, Creighton, Siena
The 12s
New Mexico, Utah State, Northern Iowa, Western Kentucky
The 13s
St. Mary's, VCU, Buffalo, Binghamton
The 14s
Weber State, North Dakota State, American, Stephen F. Austin
The 15s
Cornell, East Tennessee State, Robert Morris, Morgan State
The 16s
Cal State Northridge, Morehead State, Radford, Chattanooga (Play-In Game), Alabama State (Play-In-Game)
The Bracket
(Bracket coming soon...)
Questions? Comments? E-mail Bracketology 101 at bracketologyblog@yahoo.com
43 comments:
Congratulations to DePaul, for winning their first Big East game. I can't say I didn't see this coming though.
Will Cinci even make the NIT still?
As if no-one saw this -- as if Cinci was actually playing well -- but, still, DAAAMMMNN...
Good job DePaul. I guess.
So I guess the real question is, when you are DePaul, and 0-16, and you just win your first and likely only league game of the season, do you rush the floor? Is it even possible to rush the floor at 2PM on a Tuesday? Seems like there are probably numerous Man-Rules firmly against it, but it is not like DePaul is going to get many chances.
I have a great mental image of DePaul rushing the floor -- all 3 fans who made the trip from Chicago, 1 player's grandma and some homeless guy they found under the bleachers. I guess the issue is rather irrelevant since likely no-one would even realize that the floor was rushed.
They were actually 0-18...
Meanwhile, my Hoyas are on pace for a riveting 40-32 victory over St. Johns. 5 minutes gone and the score is a wild 5-4. WooHoo. I am left wondering is the defense in the Big East really that good, or will the various Big East teams just get lit up like Christmas trees against a team like Gonzaga that actually can make their shots?
This is why the Big East did the right thing inviting all 16 teams to the Tournament.
Right ... 0-18. My bad. God that is almost unbelievably bad. Man-Laws be damned. Floor here we come.
The Depaul win really hurt's Providence's chances of getting an at-large assuming they don't beat Louisville....
Will there be a printable bracket today?
I can't believe DePaul won today. 0-18 in the Big East with the win!
So if DePaul won the Big East tournament, where the HELL would they be seeded?
They will not win the Big East Tournament that is just obsurd.
DePaul's win is a nice story, but it's bad news for Providence. Instead of playing Cincinnati in the their first Big East game, the Friars now play a team that will do nothing for their resume (and will probably lower their RPI).
POP! Georgetown's small bubble chance just went out the door? B101 Welcome to the NIT G-Town?
Shame the first round of the Big East Tournament isn't televised.
You mean the Big Least Tourney, rather watch the ACC or Big Ten
Meanwhile, my Hoyas are on pace for a riveting 40-32 victory over St. Johns. 5 minutes gone and the score is a wild 5-4. WooHoo. I am left wondering is the defense in the Big East really that good, or will the various Big East teams just get lit up like Christmas trees against a team like Gonzaga that actually can make their shots?
Bet you wish Georgetown would have won a "riveting" 40-32 matchup
So if DePaul won the Big East tournament, where the HELL would they be seeded?
They would have 13 wins vs 23 losses, and 0 conference wins... i would think the play in game
When are you guys doing a printable bracket?
I don't think that DePaul would be in the play-in game (and I know this is absurd), because they would at least have several nice conference wins from the tournament. I'd guess a 14 or 15 seed - remember that Georgia received a 14 seed last year.
By several, you must mean 3 at the most, and georgia was not o-fer the conference
2008 georgia was 17-16 as opposed to 13-23, and was 4-12 as opposed to 0-18
Notre Dame back in the field?
Irish = Last Four Out
Just kidding.
Ok, I'm not very smart with this stuff; but, Kansas State has a terrible out of conference record but good conference record. They defeat both Texas and Texas A&M in Austin and College Station. They finish ahead of these teams in the standings of the Big 12. Texas and A&M seem to be a lock to get in and K-State is not considered. Does K-state replace Texas (If Texas beats Colorado) when they beat them again on Thursday??
@4:34
Bet you wish Georgetown would have won a "riveting" 40-32 matchup.
_____
Um, well, yes.
pat, what do you mean by Kansas State replacing Texas? Texas has a much better OOC record than K-State.
That would be an interesting case if K-State beat Texas again...then again the only reason they're 9-7 is because they got 2 games vs. Colorado and 2 games vs. Iowa State.
They also lost to Iowa, Kentucky, and OREGON!
I have to ask, is there a more hideously ugly mascot than the Butler Bulldog?
i know you have talked a lot about the big ten tournament but i have one question. does penn state have to win 1 or 2 games? the closer it gets to the tournament, the more people on tv are saying penn state needs 2 games. if they only win 1 game, what are their chances (in percent form)?
Chris- this week is your Ramadan-I will call in a bomb threat to get you out of Bob's meeting tomorrow. You belong in front of a TV, not in a summer reading debate.
Cleveland State = bid stealer.
They are actually a considerably more athletic team than Butler, they could be a pesky 12/13/14.
Cleveland State 57 Butler 54
UH-OH!!!
Cleveland State as a pesky 12/13/14? Absolutely. Just ask Syracuse.
I would assume CSU would be a 12 or the best 13 on the board. They will be a nightmare with the right matchup, just like Siena and Vandy last year.
POP POP POP
Cleveland State's going to be a 12 in tomorrow's bracket.
Dan - are you saying that Championship Week is more important than the themes presented in "Tuesdays With Morrie?" I refuse to believe this.
Can you guys tell me why the heck Clemson is a 4 and FSU is a 5 in almost everyone's bracket?
FSU has an even overall record, a better conference record, a better OOC schedule, and BEAT CLEMSON TWICE.
What am I missing here exactly?
To be honest, we have no idea why Clemson is ahead of FSU in most brackets. The 'Noles swept the Tigers head-to-head, they have two more Top 50 wins, a better OOC resume, a better conference record, and a better record in their last 10 games (7-3 vs. 5-5). Seems like a pretty cut-and-dry case to us, too.
[url=http://sopriventontes.net/][img]http://tonoviergates.net/img-add/euro2.jpg[/img][/url]
[b]Extended Mac, [url=http://sopriventontes.net/]buy cheap softwares[/url]
[url=http://tonoviergates.net/]sell software through[/url] biggest discount software adobe photoshop cs3 activation
kaspersky trial [url=http://tonoviergates.net/]where to buy adobe photoshop[/url] Pro 2
[url=http://tonoviergates.net/]software shop co[/url] buy 2.0 software update
[url=http://sopriventontes.net/]software sales canada[/url] software shop london
buy web design software [url=http://sopriventontes.net/]office 2009 software[/url][/b]
These people overcome both equally Tx as well as Arizona A&M throughout Austin, texas and College orDiablo III items university Place. They will finish before most of these competitors within the standings in the Large 14. Texas and also A&M are some sort of lock to go into in addition to K-State just isn't considered. Really does K-state change Colorado (If Arizona is better thanBuy RS Gold Denver colorado) once they overcome these once more with Thurs??
Post a Comment